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Technical Analysis

Tesla Inc (TSLA) Technicals | Following Up


TSLA Weekly.JPG

 

As you probably know, shares of Tesla Inc ($TSLA) have been red hot this year with both fundamentals and technicals showing bullish signals. In the weekly chart above you can see shares made a clean break out of the descending channel marked by the red trend lines and have since rocketed to all time highs, which is currently at $386.99.

Even with the recent sell off this week, shares are still overbought on the MACD for the weekly so we could see more downside over the coming days/weeks. Shares have become vertical over the past few weeks with high volume which can indicate a top so we will want to watch prices closely to see if they break this uptrend or continue higher. Look for prices to hold on to the 20ema as confirmation of the trend.

 

TSLA 30.JPG

 

Above is a 30-minute chart that takes a closer look of recent price action. Some important levels to take note of are marked in red with $368 being fairly significant as prices have tested that level multiple times last week and have finally broken below it yesterday. It should act as resistance now, which leads me to believe we could see another leg down.

Overall, $TSLA has great technicals and has provided excellent returns so far this year. We will want to keep an eye on this pullback to see if it breaks this uptrend. The overall market has been experiencing some weakness as well so that won’t help matters. Make sure to have stops on your positions in case of any unexpected moves.

Ross Cameron is an active trader and owner of Warrior Trading which he founded in 2012 as a live trading chat room emphasizing education and idea generation. In 2014, he began teaching trading classes, taking a break in 2015 to write a best-selling book How to Day Trade, which can be found at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and other booksellers. Trading allows Ross to travel and bring his work with him. Today he continues to trade in his chat room and teach trading courses, and lives with his family in Vermont.

This article is from Warrior Trading and is being posted with Warrior Trading’s permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Warrior Trading and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by IB to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.


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Futures

Fat finger to blame for gold's drop?


Steve Sosnick, Chief Options Strategist at Interactive Brokers, discusses the recent, abrupt sell-off in gold and possible reasons for it.

The analysis in this video is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by IB to buy, sell or hold such investments. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

 


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Macro

GUOSEN Closing Bell (June 28)


MARKET

Chinese stocks closed lower, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index ended at 3173.20 points. The A-shares stocks stopped the upward trend and retreated 0.56% today, as Chinese currency was bolstered to two-week high. Bank and Steel sectors led the gains; while Household Appliance and Food& Beverage sectors led the falls. Combined turnover for both markets was CNY 371.4bn, down 2.93% dod.

 

Close

% Change

Vol (bn CNY)

%YTD

Shanghai

3173.20

-0.56

162.08

2.24

Shenzhen

10451.57

-0.80

209.59

2.70

CSI 300

3646.17

-0.78

124.47

10.15

ChiNext

1808.20

-0.64

46.48

-7.84

 

Sector

Top 1

Led by

Top 2

Led by

Upward-leading

Bank

002142

Steel

603028

Downward-leading

Household Appliance

000921

Food& Beverage

600779

 

NEWS

*China welcomes foreign participation on reform: Li Keqiang. China’s reform needs the participation of foreign capital, companies and wisdom, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said on Wednesday, pledging easier access into the Chinese market and a level playing field. The premier made was answering a question from Dutch multinational Royal DSM’s CEO Feike Sijbesma in a meeting with global business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Dalian. “We welcome foreign firms to come to China and participate in corporate reorganization and will further lower the threshold of services to foster new growth engines,” Li said. (Xinhua)

*Renminbi firms to two-week high as PBoC sets trading band stronger. China’s currency has been bolstered to the firmest level in nearly two weeks after the country’s central bank strengthened the renminbi’s trading band by the most in almost a month. The renminbi’s onshore exchange rate, CNY, was as much as 0.3 per cent firmer against the dollar in morning trade on Wednesday at Rmb6.7955, putting it at the strongest level since June 15 after firming 0.4 per cent during the previous session. (Financial Times)

 

FUND FLOW

 

Click here for more information about Guosen.

This article is from Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. and is being posted with Guosen Securities Co., Ltd.’s permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.


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Macro

European Market Outlook: Markets Fluctuate in Asia, Yields Jump on Draghi/US Lead


Morning Briefing June 28th 2017


Wednesday's calendar throws up another busy session, with plenty of data and the ongoing ECB forum in Sintra Portugal.

The data calendar gets underway at 0600GMT, with the release of the German Import/Export Prices.

At the same time in the UK, the Nationwide Jine house price index will be published.

The French data expected at 0645GMT includes the latest Consumer sentiment data and the housing starts and permits data.

Spanish retail sales data will be published at 0700GMT.

At 0715GMT, BBK Board member Joachim Wuermeling speech at media seminar of German Bundesbank, in Frankfurt.

San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John C. Williams speaks about The Global Growth Slump: Causes and Consequences at the The Economic Association of Australia, Eminent Speaker Series 2017 in Canberra, ACT, with audience Q&A, starting at 0730GMT.

The ECB will publish the latest M3 money supply data at 0800GMT.

ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch chairs Session 2 "Business cycles, growth and macroeconomic policy" at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, in Sintra, Portugal.

In Italy, the preliminary June inflation data will be released at 0900GMT.

At 0945GMT, ECB Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger speaks on a panel during a symposium celebrating the anniversary of Bafin.

Across the Atlantic, the US calendar gets underway at 1100GMT, with the release of the MBA weekly applications index. Back in the UK, at the same time, Prime Minister Theresa May will take question from MPs and opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn in what will likely be a fiery first PMQs of the new Parliament.

There is more US data due at 1230GMT, when the advance trade and advance business inventories numbers are published.

ECB President Mario Draghi participates on Policy Panel at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, in Sintra, Portugal. Also appearing are BOE Governor Mark Carney, BOC's Stephen Poloz and BOJ head Haruhiko Kuroda.

At 1400GMT, the latest NAR pending home sales data will be released, followed by the DOE weekly crude oil stocks data at 1430GMT.

At 1805GMT, BOC Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson speech at the CFA Society Calgary, in Calgary, AB.

 

Global Economic Trading Calendar


 

Markets


SNAPSHOT: Below gives key levels of markets in the second half of the Asia-Pac session:  Nikkei 225 down 65.03 points at 20160.06  ASX 200 up 20.706 points at 5734.9  Shanghai Comp. down 5.126 points at 3186.26  JGB 10-Yr future down 3 ticks at 150.59, JGB 10-Yr yield up 0.8bp at 0.055%  Aussie 3-Yr future down 6 ticks at 98.13, Aussie 3-Yr yield up 4.8bp at 1.809%  Aussie 10-Yr future down 7.5 ticks at 97.525, Aussie 10-Yr yield up 7.1bp at 2.425%  US 10-Yr future flat at 126.09, US 10-Yr yield down 0.88bp at 2.1963%

US TSY/RECAP: Treasuries end Tues lower, after big EGB selloff as ECB's Draghi said "may change policy to keep stance unchanged, not tighten". Tsys had "OK" $34B 5Y auction (tailed mildly to 1.828%, relatively strong 65.2% indirects, good 9.18% directs, only small 25.6% dealers.) T-Notes open Asia at 126.08, 10-Year yield last 2.205%

AUSSIE BONDS: The Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sell A$800mln of 2.75% Nov 2028 bonds, issue #TB148 - Average Yield: 2.4791% (prev. 2.5447%)  - High Yield: 2.48% (prev. 2.5475%); Allotted at high: 56.2% (prev. 4.8%)  - Bid/Cover: 3.50 (prev. 3.0438)

BOJ: The BoJ offers to buy total Y880bln of JGB's from the market, all sizes unchanged from the previous operation - Y280bln of 1-3 Year JGB's - Y300bln of 3-5 Year JGB's - Y200bln of 10-25 Year JGB's - Y100bln of 25+ Year JGB's

US EURODLR FUTURES: Mixed across the strip, off lows hit yesterday and moving within a range in thin volumes. Fed's Kashkari spoke late on, spoke of concerns on inflation but said there was no indication of another crisis on the horizon. 

JAPAN STOCKS: Japanese stocks head into lunch lower, the Nikkei 225 down 58 points at 20,166.21. Shares in Japan have fluctuated so far, just making it into positive territory mid-morning after opening at session lows after a negative lead from US stocks, this move up was short-lived and shares dropped back. US stocks struggled after Fed Chair Yellen and Vice Chair Fischer said that asset prices looked rich. Also pressuring stocks was the decision by the Senate to delay the ACA bill until after the Senate recess. Australian shares are bucking the negative trend in Asia with iron ore higher and crude recovering in Asia.

OIL: Oil is lower in Asia but it well off lows hit following API inventory data, WTI last trades down $0.15 at $44.09 after hitting $43.55 after API data showed headline crude inventories rose 851k bbls against expectations for a decline. Gasoline stocks rose again, printing a build of 1.35mln bbls - this comes despite being peak "driving season" in the US. - Oil has recovered during Asia as DXY falls, the index fell from 97.467 on Tuesday to last trade at 96.367.

GOLD: Gold is higher in Asia, the yellow metal last up $5.99 at $1,253.16 on track for its second consecutive day of advance. Gold is now almost back at the pre-fat finger levels from Monday. - Gold is being supported by a weaker DXY, the index fell from 97.467 on Tuesday to last trade at 96.367. The US dollar weakened after a spike in the euro following hawkish comments from ECB President Draghi. Upside in gold is being limited by a jump in yields in the US where the curve was up around 3-6bp on Tuesday.

FOREX: Euro-dollar remained front and centre in the Asia-Pacific region, inspired by hawkish rhetoric from ECB President Draghi yesterday, the single currency remained on the front foot and eked out a fresh high of $1.1356 before consolidating around the high for the session. Dollar-Canada dropped from C$1.3199 to $1.3139, the move followed comments from Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz, who reiterated that rate cuts have done their job and he sees Canadian growth above potential. Dollar-Canada was last at C$1.3147. Aussie-dollar rose from $0.7580 to $0.7617, higher ore and steel futures were seen to underpin, traders also noted comments from former RBA board member John Edwards, who said, the Reserve Bank could increase rates 8 times in the next 2 years. Aussie was last at $0.7606. Meanwhile, dollar-yen is trading at Y112.20 and cable at $1.2817, after trading in respective ranges of Y112.03 to Y112.35 and $1.2809 to $1.2821.

 

Technical Analysis


BUND: (U17) Immediate Focus On Bull Channel Base

*RES 4: 164.51 Hourly support June 27 now resistance
*RES 3: 163.96 55-DMA
*RES 2: 163.86 Hourly resistance June 27a
*RES 1: 163.39 Hourly resistance June 27

*PREVIOUS CLOSE: 163.26

*SUP 1: 163.13 Low June 27
*SUP 2: 162.96 Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 3: 162.56 21-WMA
*SUP 4: 162.39 Low May 23    

*COMMENTARY: Having recently supported, the aggressive break of the 21-DMA and daily bull channel base sees immediate pressure on the daily bull channel base and overall focus now on 161.68-162.39 where May lows are found. Resistance layers have been left in the wake with bulls now needing a close above the 55-DMA to ease immediate bearish pressure and above the 21-DMA (164.74) to shift focus back to 165.44-55.

 

EUROSTOXX50: Immediate Bearish Focus on 3521.91


*RES 4: 3615.06 High June 2
*RES 3: 3598.06 High June 20
*RES 2: 3581.43 High June 26
*RES 1: 3561.59 55-DMA

*PREVIOUS CLOSE: 3538.32

*SUP 1: 3526.52 Low June 22
*SUP 2: 3526.29 Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: 3521.91 Low June 21
*SUP 4: 3497.92 High Apr 12 now support

*COMMENTARY: Follow through has been lacking the past 6 weeks with broad sideways trading 3497.72-3615.06 defining. The 3615.06 resistance remains key with bulls needing a close above to shift focus to tests of 2017 highs. Bears need a close below 3497.72 to confirm focus on tests off 3463.50-3473.41 where the 100-DMA is situated. The most recent topside failure sees pressure back on 3521.91 support.

 

Eurex Futures Market Close


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This article is from Eurex Exchange and is being posted with Eurex Exchange’s permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Eurex Exchange and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.


13655




Technical Analysis

Nasdaq100 (NQ) Breaks Weekly Chart Uptrend Support


The Nasdaq100 (NQ) fell almost 2% yesterday and has finally broken below upchannel support (on the daily chart).  More significantly, yesterday's slide breached ascending wedge/upchannel support on the weekly chart, signalling the end of an uptrend the chart depicts as having been in place since last November.  Keep in mind this uptrend is a steeper uptrend within longer term uptrends that can be seen on Stockcharts.com using symbol $NDX using the 5yr weekly timeframe.  Nevertheless, a break of a near 8 month uptrend support will embolden bears to more aggressively sell on any bounce today.  The weekly and daily RSI, Stochastics and MACD are sliding lower.  Although I'm bearish for at least the next several months generally speaking, I expect a potential short-lived bounce today with the 4hr Stochastics trying to bottom, and key central bank governors Draghi, Kuroda, Carney, Yellen, Poloz all speaking at 930am EST today, perhaps to calm the equity markets in light of yesterday's serious support breach.  Ideally I'd go short in the red zone (of the daily chart), targeting the green zone for late week.  The amber/yellow zone is where I might place a stop if I was a swing trader (although in my personal account which I seldom hold overnight I set my stops tighter). 

 

Nasdaq100 (CME NQ Sep17) Weekly/Daily/4hr/Hourly

 

Click here for today's technical analysis on Nifty50, AUDUSD

 

Tradable Patterns was launched to demonstrate that the patterns recurring in liquid futures and spot FX markets can be traded consistently profitably. Tradable Patterns’ daily newsletter provides technical analysis on a subset of three CME/ICE/Eurex futures (commodities, equity indices, and interest rates), spot FX and US equity markets, which it considers worth monitoring for the day/week for trend reversal or continuation. For less experienced traders, tutorials and workshops are offered online and throughout Southeast Asia.

 

This article is from Tradable Patterns and is being posted with Tradable Patterns’ permission. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and/or Tradable Patterns and IB is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the article. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.

 

 


13654




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